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Je li Globalno izvješće o konkurentnosti prava mjera makro-konkurentnosti

机译:《全球竞争力报告》是衡量宏观竞争力的正确方法吗?

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摘要

The purpose of this paper is to research the effect of abandoning the assumption oflong-term time horizon in terms of reliability of the Global Competitiveness Report(GCR) findings. In order to achieve this goal we will compare the GCR findingswith the findings of a composite index of competitiveness, named 6 BIC (BasicIndicators of Competitiveness). We have developed this index on the theoreticalbasis provided by Krugman, Fagerbergs, Scott, Lodge, Aiginger and others.Economists are aware that any theoretical conception, including the GCR, relieson a number of assumptions and postulations. If some of those have been underscrutiny, then the whole construction and its findings would lose their credibility.One of the most significant assumptions rooted in the Global CompetitivenessReport is its longevity. In the long-term, the change in productivity level throughprice competitiveness certainly brings out a change in outcome competitivenesslevel. However, the effects in short-to-middle term are not certain. Our findingsshow that there is a whole range of countries whose national competitiveness iseither under-estimated by the GCR (for example Russia, Turkey, Estonia, Moldova)or overvalued (Finland, Ireland, Iceland, Portugal, Spain) in short-to-middle term.The basic conclusion from the obtained results of the research is that the GCRdoes not provide sufficiently good view of the current competitiveness of thecountries, and that this indicator needs to be extended also with othercompetitiveness indicators, such as those selected in our paper.
机译:本文的目的是研究根据全球竞争力报告(GCR)调查结果的可靠性而放弃长期假设的影响。为了实现这一目标,我们将GCR的调查结果与竞争力综合指数的结果进行比较,该综合指数被称为6 BIC(基本竞争力指标)。我们根据克鲁格曼,法格伯格,斯科特,洛奇,艾金格等人提供的理论基础开发了该指数。经济学家意识到,包括GCR在内的任何理论概念都依赖于许多假设和假设。如果对其中的某些内容进行了审查,那么整个架构及其调查结果将失去可信度。《全球竞争力报告》中最重要的假设之一就是其使用寿命。从长远来看,通过价格竞争带来的生产率水平的变化肯定会带来结果竞争水平的变化。但是,短期到中期的影响尚不确定。我们的调查结果表明,有一系列国家/地区的国家竞争力被GCR低估(例如,俄罗斯,土耳其,爱沙尼亚,摩尔多瓦),或者被高估了(芬兰,爱尔兰,冰岛,葡萄牙,西班牙)从研究结果中得出的基本结论是,GCR不能对国家当前的竞争力提供足够好的认识,并且该指标还需要与其他竞争性指标一起扩展,例如本文中选择的那些指标。

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